What if the lost decade starts the year you retire?
- Your plan
- 100%
- What-if
- 75%
success rate, the share of cases since 1871 that never ran out
Stocks lost 3.0% a year after inflation from 2000 to 2009. 25% of the cases fail, and the median case ends the plan with $1.45M instead of $2.31M.
2000 to 2009 replayed from 60, in every case. Sample plan: age 40, retiring at 60 on $50,000 a year.